Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.017319 0.019064 0.020824 0.022728 0.024726 0.026757 0.028973
2025-07-13 0.014216 0.016935 0.019792 0.022999 0.026478 0.030121 0.034206
2025-07-20 0.012134 0.015354 0.018842 0.022858 0.027314 0.032070 0.037496
2025-07-27 0.010521 0.014076 0.018034 0.022694 0.027962 0.033673 0.040276
2025-08-03 0.009681 0.013570 0.017998 0.023303 0.029387 0.036060 0.043852
2025-08-10 0.008523 0.012581 0.017315 0.023093 0.029817 0.037281 0.046081
2025-08-17 0.007491 0.011655 0.016632 0.022816 0.030115 0.038303 0.048044
2025-08-24 0.006661 0.010912 0.016114 0.022684 0.030536 0.039430 0.050094
2025-08-31 0.005882 0.010172 0.015548 0.022451 0.030802 0.040351 0.051882
2025-09-07 0.005255 0.009583 0.015131 0.022364 0.031215 0.041417 0.053818
2025-09-14 0.004549 0.008828 0.014459 0.021928 0.031177 0.041933 0.055098
2025-09-21 0.003917 0.008123 0.013812 0.021487 0.031105 0.042387 0.056286
2025-09-28 0.003130 0.007151 0.012804 0.020609 0.030545 0.042329 0.056970
2025-10-05 0.002801 0.006854 0.012704 0.020906 0.031452 0.044049 0.059780
2025-10-12 0.002381 0.006360 0.012295 0.020768 0.031793 0.045068 0.061745
2025-10-19 0.002007 0.005893 0.011891 0.020613 0.032092 0.046022 0.063621
2025-10-26 0.001862 0.005812 0.012038 0.021190 0.033319 0.048104 0.066846
2025-11-02 0.001547 0.005374 0.011629 0.020991 0.033535 0.048938 0.068565
2025-11-09 0.001259 0.004938 0.011191 0.020729 0.033653 0.049637 0.070112
2025-11-16 0.001034 0.004589 0.010864 0.020603 0.033935 0.050531 0.071887
2025-11-23 0.000823 0.004222 0.010483 0.020383 0.034078 0.051241 0.073431
2025-11-30 0.000662 0.003934 0.010209 0.020301 0.034395 0.052161 0.075225
2025-12-07 0.000482 0.003538 0.009723 0.019887 0.034252 0.052492 0.076288